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Selections For: Thursday, December 21, 2017



Aqueduct Selections



THURSDAY, DECEMBER 21

SPOT PLAYS

AQUEDUCT

Race 1

#4 Midnight Disguise

Well bet first starter crushed maiden claimers in the career debut last time and now wheels right back in less than a week for trainer Linda Rice, who has won with an amazing 6 of the last 9 runners she’s brought back within a week of their last race (67% wins, $2.78 ROI). Irad Ortiz is back for the mount and is forming by far the best jockey/trainer at the meet with Rice, with the pair hitting at a huge 49% win rate (20-for-41).

 

Race 4

#7 Bobby On Fleek

Plus play an exacta box w/#4 Katalox

#7 Bobby On Fleek returns from a layoff after last being seen in June, but that actually might be a positive since this horse’s best career race so far came in a big win off a similar layoff earlier this year. Owns the best speed figures in this field, drops in class from races against tougher company, and goes out for the top jockey, Irad Ortiz, and the top trainer, Rudy Rodriguez, at this meet.

Play in exacta box w/ #4 Katalox, who is a three-time career winner and also drops in class for this race. Katalox is a bit of a wild card in this field based on the fact that most of his races so far have come on Polytrack, but nevertheless he should still be respected in this race because his lone dirt outing to date was a good one – a third-place finish in a stakes race down at Gulfstream Park last season.

 

FULL CARD SELECTIONS

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 21

AQUEDUCT

RACE 1

1 – #4 Midnight Disguise                  2-1           BEST BET

2 – #2 Right On                                       7-2

3 – #6 Tarawa                                          5-1

                           

RACE 2

1 – #2 Switzerland              9-5

2 – #3 Wonderful Light   2-1

3 – #4 Via Castagna            8-1

 

RACE 3

1 – #1 Unrepented                               5-1

2 – #2 Land Mine                                   8-5

3 – #3 No Hayne No Gayne              3-1

 

RACE 4

1 – #7 Bobby On Fleek      8-5

2 – #4 Katalox                       4-1

3 – #5 Caniform                   12-1

 

RACE 5

1 – #6 Corey Q                       2-1

2 – #5 B Three                        3-1

3 – #7 Giant Ending           12-1

 

RACE 6

1 – #4 Doinwhatshelikes                  5-1

2 – #1 Midnight Bounty                    10-1

3 – #7 Maddizaskar                              4-1

 

RACE 7

1 – #6 Bree’s Got Heart    2-1

2 – #1 Satin Sheets             9-5

3 – #5 Over My Head         12-1

 

RACE 8

1 – #2 Blinded Vision        3-1

2 – #11 Big Thicket             6-1

3 – #6 C K Dexter Haven  5-2

4 – #8 Maimo                        15-1

 


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Analyzing The Triple Crown — Stanley Caris



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