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Oct 14, 2011

HORSES TO WATCH

By: AMERICAN TURF CLUB


LAUREL

FOCUS: Was claimed out of his debut run which came over the turf, showed much improved speed battling head to head for the lead before tiring in the drive to finish fourth at 24-1, a drop back into the maiden claiming ranks puts him right there.

SCHOOL HOUSE: Got bet down to 5-2 last out from his 6-1 morning line, raced in ninth early on behind some moderate splits but did close well to finish third as the pace was heating up; give this four year old gelding another shot over the turf with NW2L $20k claimers.

DUKE OF DEVON: Was outrun some early on last out behind a solid half in 45:2, started to move outward at the top of the lane and flew home through the lane to score going away at 19-1, sharp runner can now string a few wins together over the turf.

RUN BINKY RUN: Three year old filly has plenty of early zip but she just doesn’t finish it off, her most recent effort was similar, battling head to head for the lead before tiring to finish fourth at 28-1; can last one of these days at long odds, stay close.

AGONISTIC: Three year old colt stalked the leaders over the turf last out, made a quick move to take over the lead into the drive but got a bit tired late to finish a close-up third, sharp runner is sitting on a win, get on board.

BEST BET: THUNDER LORD: Well bred four year old gelding was returning from a 13-month layoff last out, raced near the back of the pack early on before making a big wide move to get into contention at the top of the lane but faded late to finish a solid third, should be all set now.

LONGSHOT: CALVIN B: Five year old gelding was sent off as the longest shot in the race at 75-1, stalked the leaders from seventh and then closed well through the lane to finish third, fits with the basement claimers and should be used right back in all exotics.

 

 

 

BELMONT

SHOW TRIAL: Hard hitting four year old loves the game with 11 wins from 30 starts and another 10 in the money finishes, got a good pace to run at last out and closed well through the lane to just miss by a nose over a speed favoring track, always shows up so follow right back with similar.

LURE OF THE SOUTH: Was sent off at 38-1 in his last start, raced at the back of the pack early on, made a wide middle move to reach contention but couldn’t finish it off checking in last just about four lengths behind the winner, will improve with a switch to two turns, mark it down.

RAYTESSA: Took some early money for his debut off some slowish workouts, chased the pace to the middle of the turn but tired to finish sixth, should improve off that effort and value is there.

J C’S QUEEN: Has definitely shown she is much better on the grass, got away in seventh last out behind a moderate early pace, made a quick move on the turn to take over a clear lead into the lane and never looked back scoring by three lengths on the wire, follow right back before the turf season comes to an end.

BALLAST: Ten year old veteran is not a sprinter so have to believe his most recent effort sprinting over the turf will set him up for a stretchout in distance next out, follow back in a similar spot going longer, tab.

SLASH FIVE: Pletcher trainee came out running last out in his debut run, set a solid pace to the top of the lane but came up empty when it counted tiring to finish fifth, high price two year old training should improve off that effort and give him another shot for top barn.

ATTENTION: Two year old filly took no money for her debut going off at 31-1, raced in 10th early on but only passed one rival in the lane to finish ninth, hails from the Bill Mott barn and this well bred runner should show marked improvement next out, follow at a price.

MAGNIFICENT MOON: Is best when he can make one run over the turf, for some reason was sent to the lead last out, set the pace while under pressure and tired in the lane, the value is there so follow back with different tactics.

LINCOLN PENNY: Raced well back early on in a turf sprint that was dominated by the early speed, did pass some horses in the drive and was running on well late, give him another shot in a turf sprint before the meeting is up, follow.

BEST BET: SCORCHER: Was taken so far off the early pace he had no real shot at winning but was running on well late to finish sixth at 5-1; has ability just needs to be put in the race next out, follow closely right back.

LONGSHOT: HAYA’S BOY: Has been sharp of late with a win and a third in his last three starts, pressed the sharp pace last out over the turf and only began to tire in the lane to finish seventh at 68-1, the value is there on either surface, take it.



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