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Jul 20, 2012

HORSES TO WATCH

By: AMERICAN TURF CLUB


SARATOGA

PURE AMOUR: Was pinned inside behind a slow early pace, made a good move up he inside but couldn’t overcome those slow early fractions checking in fourth at 26-1; offers big time value right back.

DRAW TWO: Was off to a bad start in his debut going seven furlongs over the turf, made a big wide move on the turn to reach contention and then finished up well for third late, should improve and the further the better.

SOCIAL STATEMENT: Needed the race back last out, her first since March, she chased the pace from the start to the top of the lane before tiring to finish fourth, should be much tighter next out, tab.

PEGASUS DIAMOND: Three year old filly broke from post 12 last out, got away in seventh, quickly moved into contention while racing in third but couldn’t go on with it checking in fifth at 11-1; respect.

MADAM I’M ADAM: Was outrun early on after getting bumped at the break, raced wide into the lane and picked up a few horses checking in fifth at 11-1, should improve with that race under his belt and a move to the turf.

TROPHY WIFE: Tried the turf last our for the first time but just ran evenly throughout to finish fourth at 6-1, could improve off that race right back but a move back to the dirt could also be in order.

REGAL STRIKE: Showed good speed but came up a neck short after showing the way early on while under pressure against a solid $14k claiming field, may be rounding back to form for the Richard Dutrow Jr. barn, stay close against better.

GOING GREEN: Was right up on the pace last out over the turf, took over the lead but had to settle for second late through a solid final time, respect this runner off the claim by the Gary Gullo barn, tab.

LUIGI P: It’s hard to advocate a seven year old gelding who is now 1 for 33 but he was given no shot last out breaking from post 1 and dropping back to trail the field behind solid fractions before coming with a wide move to finish sixth, follow with NW2L $20k claimers over the turf with a better ride.

CLASS ACTION SUIT: Ran very well last out stalking the sharp early pace, taking over that lead into the lane and then holding safe to the wire to score by more than two lengths through a sharp time in 1:10 flat, was claimed out of that race and this New York bred should be followed right back.

THOMAS HILL: Has been in good form of late with a win followed up by a solid third at 18-1 behind the 3-5 favorite in a solid final time of 1:21:3, look for this runner back over the turf in current form.

POWHATAN PRINCESS: May have tried to bite off more than she could chew last out chasing the pace versus a solid field of $62.5k optional claiming horses tiring to finish fifth and last, was in solid form heading into that race and some class relief gets her back to the winners’ circle.

BEST BET: SHINTOH: Well bred runner was making just his first start since October 2010 for the Allen Jerkens barn, got away in fifth behind a solid pace, moved into contention at the top of the lane but could only manage a close-up fourth at 6-1; should be much tighter next out.

LONGSHOT: DISCO ON: Got a nice trip on the rail last out over the turf, tried to move up the inside but had to check and steady, moved outside for clearance checking in a good fourth at 21-1, offers value right back and has a solid with similar.

 

 

 

 

 

MONMOUTH

SMILING VICKI: Came out of the gate running last out, set the pace from the start to the top of the lane but couldn’t go with the top two hanging in well for third at 24-1; six year old mare will offer value right back with similar.

SHAHADAROBA: Five year old mare is now 1 for 21 over the Monmouth turf course but this mare has the sharp early speed and ran on very well to finish third at 34-1 in a solid final time, can go wire to wire at a big price.

CANIGOTOO: Three year old gelding was coming off a two month layoff last out, chased the sharp early pace right from the start but tired to finish sixth and last, needed that race and hails from sharp barn, improves right back.

CHANNEL QUEST: Was off since January heading into his last start, chased the pace from third last out and couldn’t go with the leaders when it counted tiring to finish fifth, needed that race and a move back to the dirt is also an option.

UNCLE OTTO: Jersey bred was a big winner two back versus statebreds, moved up to face off against a solid open company optional claiming field and checked in fifth at 13-1, sharp runner can offer value with a move back to the lawn, stay close.

OUR CONCERTO: Was off since March heading into his last start, chased a moderate pace early on for the sharp the Broome barn and tired to finish seventh, needed the race and a turnback can suit at a better price.

BEST BET: SCUDERO: Three year old gelding chased the sharp pace over the turf last out while racing three wide, was looped by the winner into the lane but did dig in gamely to finish second by a nose at 14-1; fits with $20k NW2L claimers, stay close.

LONGSHOT: STRATEGIC DEFENSE: Moved into a new barn when making his first start since January, made the pace right from the start last out, setting a solid pace throughout before tiring some late to finish fourth at 36-1; can take them all the way next out off that effort.



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