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Nov 08, 2013

HORSES TO WATCH

By: AMERICAN TURF CLUB


AQUEDUCT

ABSOLUTE BEAUTY: Didn’t show much speed last out behind moderate splits over the turf, raced in fifth early on and checked in sixth late at 29-1; follow with a drop into a restricted claimer on the dirt, tab.

D J’S HOPE: Three year old gelding took a drop in class last out into a $35k maiden claimer, broke ok but didn’t try to keep up early on racing in 7th behind sharp splits but could only manage a sixth place finish, a post position more towards the middle should help his cause.

DEE DEE’S COMET: Was off since March heading into her last start, got away in 8th while racing three wide, came with a wide run into the lane before checking in third when flattening out just a bit at 64-1; price play right back against a similar group.

LOVE CONTRACT: Ran third in a four horse field last out in the $100k Chip Stakes, chased the pace from third behind sharp fractions and checked in third late behind the 1-5 favorite, has been over her head for a few starts and needs a drop back down to a claimer, tab.

MISTER DOOLEY: Broke from a tough rail post last out, raced near the back of the pack before angling out into the lane passing a few horses late to finish seventh, is better on the turf but don’t dismiss on either surface.

PAPA FREUD: Ran a big race last out from post 12 with an apprentice in tow, took over in the lane but couldn’t hold on late checking in a close-up third at 76-1; follow right back at a square price.

REAL ESTATE: Hard knocking nine year old didn’t get off to the best of starts last out, raced well back in 10th and passed a few horses in the lane to finish sixth at 13-1; another shot at this level with a better break.

SHOUTOUT: Five year old gelding came out running last out when sent off at 61-1, pressed the pace to the top of the lane before tiring a bit late to finish fifth, can wire a similar group at huge odds, tab.

STEALTH STEED: Five year old was coming off three poor efforts when sent off at 51-1 last out, came out running from the start, set some reasonable splits into the lane but couldn’t go with the leaders late checking in fourth late, price play.

TIZ SO SWEET: Two year old filly pressed the pace in her debut last out while racing three wide, was still there into the lane but tired some late to finish fourth at 12-1; needed that race and a stretchout in distance will definitely help.

BEST BET: THE LOST TIGRESS: Two year old filly was sent off at 2-1 in her debut, broke from the rail, wasn’t able to secure a good spot and raced in 7th early on, was still saving around into the lane but didn’t gain any around checking in seventh, should improve at a better price.

LONGSHOT: FRANKED: Saved ground early on for his first try over the turf, couldn’t go on with it through the lane and checked in 8th at 19-1; like his chances back on the dirt at a big price.

 

 

 

TURF PARADISE

BULL TIME: Was sent off as the longest shot in the race last out at 34-1; was outrun early on behind a half mile in 43:4, closed a bit of ground in the lane while in some traffic checking in fourth behind the runaway winner; likes this track and offers some value.

CHAMPSVILLE: Was off since April heading into his last start, came out running from post 7, set a sharp pace to the top of the lane but tired some late to finish third at 17-1; should prove tough to beat right back.

KNUCKLEBUSTER: Well bred runner moved back to the turf for his second try over that surface, chased the pace while outside, couldn’t get to the wire to wire winner and tired to finish third at 11-1 in a good effort, hails from sharp barn and should be followed on either surface.

PEACH SPRINGS: Was badly outrun in a restricted stakes in her debut, was bumped at the start last out when dropped into a $5k maiden claimer last out, was outrun to the top of the lane but did close well to finish second at 20-1; fits nicely at that level.

TRAINING ZONE JON: Spent all of 2013 at Finger Lakes, shipped in for his last start, was outrun early on behind moderate splits and checked in an even fifth late at 6-1; has run over this course before with a second place finish his best result, should improve off that race.

BEST BET: SEVEN TUFF: Was claimed two back for $7.5k, made his first start in the Mike Chambers barn last out and moved back to the turf, was away in seventh early on, made a sharp move to take over the lead past the ¾ mark but tired to finish third late at 6-1; gets there next out.

LONGSHOT: MATAMOR: Deep closer was outrun early on through a half mile in 44:4 when returning from a May layoff, saved ground around the turn and finished well for third at 73-1; another move forward can put him right there at long odds.



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