Nov 27, 2004
Speed Prep Angle
By: Ray Taulbot
The trainer who is interested in turf speculation dislikes nothing more than to
have one of his fit horses
go postward at a short price.From his point of view, such a situation represents
nothing more than a
waste of time and work; it deprives him of the opportunity to collect what he
considers his just profit.
Once the player understands the conditioner"s attitude regarding price, it is not
difficult for him to
understand why so many trainers spend much of their time devising ways to
deceive the public
regarding the true condition of theirhorses. They want a price, and in order to get
it they must operate
in a manner which will tend to mislead those players who are students of form.
Fortunately for players, however, the devices available to the trainer are few, and any
fan can soon learn to spot the different moves which are made to deceive him.
Almost every month, this magazine calls your attention to one or more of these
so-called angles. The reader
who studies each angle presented will soon become highly proficient at spotting
maneuvers, and will cash in on a number of good-priced winners which the average
racing fan will overlook.
The angle we will examine this month is a common one.Nevertheless, thousands of
racing fans know nothing about it, and their lack of knowledge costs them many
dollars each year. If the readers of
AMERICAN TURF MONTHLY miss out on these good things hereafter, then their
hard luck shall be of their
own making, for following is a detailed explanation of this common angle:
To begin with, the best bet in racing is a fresh, fit horse. You may have heard your
family physician remark
that rest is the best medicine known to medical science. This applies to the horse
as well as to man.
Constant racing wears down a horse"s physical condition, and eventually its reserve
strength drops to a
level where it is no longer fit to race.
The trainer understands these points, so we can leavethe length of the rest
period to him. Remember,
though, that a horse eats and it must becared for during these idle periods, and
that costs money. As
a result, the trainer is anxious to overcome the overhead involved at the earliest
possible moment after the
horse is returned to training.
For this reason, horses that have been taking the "rest cure," as it were, are
carefully prepared for their
return to active competition. As a result of the rest and the extra care, many such
horses turn in a good
race first time out. However, few of them win their initial start following a rest of
one month (31 days) or
Now we come to the angle itself. Many horses that set or press the pace first out
following a rest of one
month or more are frequently allowed to fade in the stretch run, giving the
appearance of "shortness." Such
horses finish out of the money, and because they do just that, the public steers
clear of themnext out.
That is exactly what the betting trainer wants. Without too much support from
the public next out, there
is sufficient cushion to permit the conditioner to make a healthy wager without
driving the odds down to
what he considers anunprofitable level. That"s why so many fresh and fit horses
appear to weaken
during thestretch run in their first race following a rest of one month or more.
When this occurs, the horse must be given the rest cure. How much rest it will
need depends on several
factors. If its reserve strength hasbeen wholly depleted, then it may require
several months of rest to
restore its conditioning level to normal. However, if the trainer has used sound
judgment and retiredthe
horse before it is entirely exhausted, then four or five weeks of idleness is
sufficient to restore it to normal.
To give you a clear picture of the sort of horse to look for with this angle, we have
chosen the sixth race at
Hialeah on March 17, 1995. Note that he flashed speed to the pre-stretch call
and was ignored by the
betting public at 21-1 after returning from his layoff.
Held at the same odds today he paid $44.40 to win.
Mar 17, 1995 6 Hialeah 1 3/16 miles (turf) Claiming price $40,000
Johnny North c.4 $40,000
25 Feb 95 11 GP fm 1 1/8 (T) Clm 50000 2 2 9 9 21.60
20 Jan 95 5 GP fm 1 1/8 (T) Alw 30000 2 6 10 10 18.60
In the first race at Hialeah that same afternoon Ensign"s Blue Rose (1 1 10 10
in her top race seven days
agao with a gap of two months to her previous race on January 12), returned
$20.20 in a maiden claiming race.
Another claiming race winner was Snowtin (Arg) in thefifth race at Santa Anita
on March 9. His top race
running line of February 18 was 4 5 7 8and his previous race had been run on
January 15. His win payoff
today was a generous$45.60.
While this is primarily a betting stable angle it picks winners in many other
types of races. For example,
some other March winners were exclusively Marked $28 at Hialeah in a maiden
special event, plus
Sky Kid $40 at SantaAnita, Corrie Kayhay $65 at Oaklawn Park, and
Sherunsfornanny $35 at Hialeah in
In summary, all you need to look for is fresh horses that had good early speed
to the pre-stretch call last
out and which finished out of the money in their initial start following the layoff.
Once in a while, you will find a horse of this type whose post-time odds are on
the short side, say 3-1 or
less. When you do, pass the race.There is always the danger that its trainer will
not be interested in such short odds.
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