

May 22, 2015
AMERICAN TURF CLUB LEAD-PREAKNESS 2015
By: JOE GIRARDI
The 2015
Preakness has come and gone and American Pharoah, the 2015 Kentucky Derby
winner splashed his way to victory scoring by seven lengths over Tale Of Verve
who closed from last to finish second, thereby giving him a chance to close out
a Triple Crown, which would be the first since 1978 when Affirmed got the job
done defeating his valiant rival Alydar.
This is
the second straight year that there is a Triple Crown chance as California
Chrome won both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness in 2014 but failed to finish
it off in the Belmont Stakes. I’ll Have Another won both the Kentucky Derby and
Preakness in 2012 but was hurt in the days leading up to the Belmont Stakes and
was scratched. There was a field of
eight that went postward in the Preakness with American Pharoah going off as
the 4-5 favorite. Firing Line, who was second in the Derby was sent off as the
3-1 second choice and Dortmund, the third place finisher was sent off as the
9-2 third choice. The weather was spotty all day but leading up to the
Preakness there was a huge deluge that caused the track to become very sloppy.
When the gates opened, American Pharoah, who didn’t break that sharp was rushed
up into the race but jockey Victor Espinoza and was sent to the lead and ran
with another pace rival, Mr. Z who was battling with him through the first quarter
mile that went in 22:4. As they moved into the backstretch, American Pharoah
edged away from that rival and held a clear lead through fractions of 22:4,
46:4, 1:11:2. As the field moved into the far turn, American Pharoah held the
lead with Mr. Z and Dortmund chasing that pace but they weren’t making up any
ground. Divining Rod, was in behind those leaders and looked like he would be
the only one with a chance. As they turned into the stretch, Divining Rod
angled off the rail but couldn’t go with American Pharoah who began to drew
away and continued to drew away late in the stretch going on for an easy win by
seven lengths. Divining Rod couldn’t go with that runner and in fact couldn’t
hold on to second as Tale Of Verve closed ground to finish second at 28-1 under
jockey Joel Rosario. Divining Rod held on for third over seven lengths clear of
fourth place finisher Dortmund. Mr. Z tired to finish fifth, Danzig Moon was
sixth, then there was a long way back to Firing Line who finished seventh and
Bodhisattva who finished eighth and last.
The
downpour before the race definitely affected the outcome or at least made it
hard to gauge how good American Pharoah is. He had one race over a wet track
and that was a blowout win in the Arkansas Derby. The fact that he was able to
make the early lead over that sloppy track and not take much pressure after the
first quarter mile allowed him to go on to score the big victory in the
Preakness. The fact that his chief rivals, Dortmund and more so Firing Line
both of these horses had plenty of trouble with their footing over the track.
Dortmund got away in third early on and checked in an even fourth but never
seemed to be getting over the track. Firing Line took a stumble at the start of
the race and never recovered racing in sixth early on and checking in seventh
late when basically being eased over the wire a well beaten seventh. Not to
take anything away from American Pharoah, who is clearly very talented but his
two main rivals didn’t handle that mess of a track and the horse that finished
second was coming off his maiden win. The time of the race was very slow but
much of that can be attributed to a track that was a sea of slop.
Now with
less than three weeks to the Belmont Stakes, American Pharoah has a chance to make
history and become the 12th horse to win the Triple Crown and the
first since 1978. As of this writing there are 11 probables for the Belmont
Stakes. The only two horses that would be coming from the Preakness are
American Pharoah and Tale of Verve the 1-2 finishers. The rest of the field
would be coming from the Kentucky Derby and two possibles from the Peter Pan
Stakes. Frosted, a good fourth in the Kentucky Derby and Materiality who
finished a trouble sixth in the Kentucky Derby are both pointing towards the
Belmont Stakes. Mubtaahij, the big winner of the UAE Derby and an even 8th
in the Kentucky Derby is also pointing towards the Belmont Stakes.
It looks
like they should have a pretty solid field in the Belmont Stakes and American
Pharoah will have to earn it at the 1 and ½ miles distance. The Belmont Stakes
which is nicknamed the Test of the Champion will definitely test American
Pharoah in his quest for the Triple Crown.
In other
news, NYRA, which announced a few weeks ago that they will cap the Belmont
Stakes attendance at 90,000 hasn’t changed that policy, it will be interesting
to see how that plays out as the day comes closer.
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