Dec 03, 2004
Race to Race Odds Patterns
By: Ray Taulbot
Knowing that 90 percent of all racegoers do not do any serious
handicapping, it is not surprising that so many
readers have written ATM to request what amounts to a "magic angle"
formula. What they want to
be able to do is to go to the track, buy a program or Daily Racing Form,
make their selections and get
a lot of winners at good prices.
At this point, we"ll state that "there ain"t no such animal." No angle will
cover every types of race found
on a nine-race card, from maidens through the feature event. What
these fans should do is provide themselves
with enough angles to adequately cover all types of races.
If they don"t want to go to the trouble of memorizing a half dozen
good angles, then they should stick to
just one, making their biggest bet on whatever horse it points out
(If indeed there is one) and go about
having fun with two-dollar bets on therest of the card.
In this respect, we think it best for such fans to stick to a good
trainer angle. If they get involved with raw
time and speed ratings from the past performances, they can miss the boat.
Before we go into this month"s angle, we"d like to point out that almost
all trainer angles demand more
than cold facts and figures from the past performance data. They demand an
awareness of what the trainer
has done and what it appears he is likely to do today. In short, a little
dab of "mind reading" won"t hurt and it
is not too hard to acquire this with experience.
This angle will pick winners in all types of races if the player uses
such awareness. It will pick winners in
maiden races because a horseman wants just as much to win a bet with a
maiden as he does with
a handicap horse. However, it is best with claimers because too often with
classier horses, there are too
many contenders. Very often, one can find a single qualified angle horse
in a claiming race and this
makes a particularly solid bet.
In using this particular angle, the player must keep in mind the power
of "back class." For the benefit of those
who may not be entirely familiar with the term back class, it has two
meanings. One of these pertains to the
class in which the horse has raced prior to its last race. However,
when the term is used in conjunction
with an angle, it takes on a slightly different meaning. Since the angle we
are presenting comprises the
horse"s last three races, back class therefore means the horse"s class level
prior to the second race
back. Any reader who uses this angle without consideration of pace
or other basic methods of handicapping
should always make sure that in some race prior to the second race back,
the horse finished well in
a class equal to or higher than its entered class today or showed good
early speed in better company
than itis meeting today. We will explain these points and present
First, we"ll put the points we are looking for into proper perspective:
1. Watch for horses whose odds went up five points or more in their
next-to-last race after a trying
effort in their third or fourth race back.
2. In order to qualify on this angle, the horse"s odds must have dropped
at least five points last start as
compared to the odds at which it was held in its next-to-last race.
3. Such a horse must have run a race not more than 15 days ago in claiming
races and 20 days ago
in allowances or feature races; the more recently it was run, the better the
4. Though not a hard and fast rule, if the horse is the only qualified
angle horse in the race, the better the
5. If there are two qualified angle horses in the race try to choose the
one for which you see some additional
favoring factor. If you do not find any additional favoring angle, play the
horse going off at the best price if there
are only two. If there are more than two angle horses in the race, skip it.
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