

Jan 21, 2005
Race to Race Odds Patterns
By: Ray Taulbot
Knowing that 90 percent of all racegoers do not do any serious
handicapping, it is not surprising that
so many readers have written ATM to request what amounts to a "magic angle"
formula. What they want
to be able to do is to go to the track, buy a program or Daily Racing Form,
make their selections and get
a lot of winners at good prices.
At this point, we"ll state that "there ain"t no such animal." No angle will cover
every types of race found on
a nine-race card, from maidens through the feature event. What these fans
should do is provide themselves
with enough angles to adequately cover all types of races.
If they don"t want to go to the trouble of memorizing a half dozen good angles,
then they should stick to
just one, making their biggest bet on whatever horse it points out (If indeed
there is one) and go about
having fun with two-dollar bets on the rest of the card.
In this respect, we think it best for such fans to stick to a good trainer angle. If
they get involved with
raw time and speed ratings from the past performances, they can miss the boat.
Before we go into this month"s angle, we"d like to point out that almost all
trainer angles demand more
than cold facts and figures from the past performance data. They demand an
awareness of what the trainer
has done and what it appears he is likely to do today. In short, a little dab of
"mind reading" won"t hurt and
it is not too hard to acquire this with experience.
This angle will pick winners in all types of races if the player uses such
awareness. It will pick winners
in maiden races because a horseman wants just as muchto win a bet with a
maiden as he does with
a handicap horse. However, it is best with claimers because too often with
classier horses, there are too
many contenders. Very often, one can find a single qualified angle horse in a
claiming race and this
makes a particularly solid bet.
In using this particular angle, the player must keep in mind the power of "back
class." For the benefit of those
who may not be entirely familiar with the term back class, it has two meanings.
One of these pertains to the
class in which the horse has raced prior to its last race. However, when the
term is used in conjunction
withan angle, it takes on a slightly different meaning. Since the angle we are
presenting comprises the
horse"s last three races, back class therefore means the horse"s class level
prior to the second race
back. Any reader who uses this angle without consideration of pace or other
basic methods of handicapping
should always make sure thatin some race prior to the second race back, the
horse finished well in
a class equal to orhigher than its entered class today or showed good early
speed in better company
than itis meeting today. We will explain these points and present
examples shortly.
First, we"ll put the points we are looking for into proper perspective:
1. Watch for horses whose odds went up five points or more in their next-to-last
race after a trying
effort in their third or fourth race back.
2. In order to qualify on this angle, the horse"s odds must have dropped at
least five points last start
as compared to the odds at which it was held inits next-to-last race.
3. Such a horse must have run a race not more than 15 days ago in claiming
races and 20 days
ago in allowances or feature races; the more recently it was run, the better
the selection.
4. Though not a hard and fast rule, if the horse is the only qualified angle
horse in the race, the better
the selection.
5. If there are two qualified angle horses in the race try to choose the one
for which you see some
additional favoring factor. If you do not find any additional favoring angle,
play the horse going off at the
best price if there are only two. If there are more than two angle horses in
the race, skip it.
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