#3 Tivy blew it at the break to start seven lengths behind
the field and lost all chance to finish fifth last time out. Had been in the
money in all other recent starts and can rebound based the strong wire-to-wire
win two races ago.
Play in exacta box with #6 Bramito, who needed a race when
switched to the turf off a three-month layoff and took the worst of a three-way
place photo and settled for fifth, but then rebounded in a big way last time
when he switched back to a dirt sprint and won at Saratoga. Looms a big threat
versus these with a similar effort.
Race 5
#3 Carson’s Run
Got wiped
out when interfered with in the stretch four races ago and in the three races
since then has consistently been perhaps the best 3yo turf horse in the country
with a season that includes a G1 win in the Saratoga Derby Invitational where
he beat both of today’s principal rivals. Exits a good second vs. a 12-horse
field in the $2 million Nashville Derby last time and should beat these with a
similar effort.
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